Industry executives and experts share their predictions for 2025. Read them in this 17th annual VMblog.com series exclusive. By Grayson Milbourne,
Security Intelligence Director, OpenText Cybersecurity
Over the past decade,
cyberattacks have grown in sophistication. While this year attackers will
continue to experiment with new attack methods in order to undermine defenses,
they will also refine tried-and-tested tactics. Ransomware-as-a-Service (RaaS) and
phishing have become the go-to tools for cybercriminals, and in 2025, they're investing
in what works. With advanced technologies at their fingertips, cybercriminals
are building on their successes, creating smarter, faster, and more
sophisticated threats than ever before.
Here are three key trends
shaping the cybersecurity landscape this year, where attackers have honed their
methods and defenders must rise to the challenge.
1. Phishing Attacks Are
Getting So Personal, It's Almost Creepy
If you thought phishing was
bad before, generative AI is taking it to a whole new level. Cybercriminals
have perfected the art of crafting phishing campaigns that are so highly
targeted, that they are practically personalized love letters. With AI at their
disposal, attackers now have the ability to mine vast amounts of personal data
to create messages that exploit individual vulnerabilities with unnerving
precision.
Today's attackers are using
AI to design hyper-relevant messages based on social media posts, shopping
habits and even personal communications. As a result, phishing emails are
practically indistinguishable from legitimate correspondence, making them much
harder for individuals and organizations to spot. In fact, recent reports found 817
million spearphishing attempts among 7.7 billion email-based threats.
The game has changed:
phishing is no longer about casting a wide net; it's about making each message
so convincing that even the most security-conscious people are duped.
Cybercriminals have figured out what works, and they've mastered it. The rise
of AI and data mining has made phishing so effective, it's more important than
ever to implement advanced email security tools, continuous employee training
and a culture of vigilance.
2. AI-Powered Ransomware Is
More Dynamic and Devious Than Ever
Ransomware has always been a
favorite tool of cybercriminals and it will remain a favorite this year. A
recent survey found
that of the 48% of businesses who have experienced a ransomware attack, 73%
have experienced a ransomware attack in the last year.
Leveraging AI, ransomware
attacks have become more dynamic, making it much harder for security systems to
detect and stop them. These AI-powered ransomware attacks don't just encrypt
data, but continuously adapt and bypass security measures, generating new
attack vectors and encryption methods on the fly.
Gone are the days of static
malware that follows a predictable pattern. Today's ransomware is agile,
self-adapting and harder to contain. Cybercriminals have begun using AI to
create custom encryption methods and dynamically generated code, which changes
the attack characteristics with each strike. The result is a constantly
evolving threat that outpaces traditional security protocols and makes
detection significantly more difficult.
Moreover, the proliferation
of RaaS has lowered the barrier to entry for cybercriminals. Now, even less
technically savvy attackers can purchase AI-driven ransomware kits that allow
them to launch devastating attacks. As a result, organizations face an
increasing number of ransomware attempts that are smarter, more targeted and
harder to stop.
3. On the Positive Side, Multinational
Efforts to Disrupt Cybercriminal Operations Have Hit Full Throttle
As a result of ongoing
ransomware activity, we're witnessing a groundbreaking shift in how the world
confronts cybercrime. Governments across the globe have united to confront the
growing threats in cyberspace with unprecedented coordination. As cyber threats
have grown more complex and interconnected, so have the responses. Countries
are collaborating more closely than ever, sharing intelligence, resources and
strategies to dismantle cybercriminal operations.
With the recognition that
cyberspace is now a critical domain of conflict, nations are continuing to
invest heavily in both offensive and defensive cyber capabilities. Global
alliances are also taking proactive steps to disrupt the infrastructure of
cybercriminal groups before they can strike, making multinational cybercrime
takedowns a reality. The most successful of these operations combine legal
action, technical measures and intelligence-sharing, rendering cybercriminals'
traditional operations less effective.
This year, the focus is on
staying one step ahead, with law enforcement agencies and intelligence
communities from around the world working in lockstep to shut down criminal
operations before they can launch major attacks.
The Year of Refinement and
Risk
Cybercriminals' tried and
true methods are not going anywhere and the refinement in these attacks is at a
scary level of precision. They are refining the tools and techniques that have
worked for them in the past, making their attacks more effective, more personal
and more difficult to detect, while also innovating to craft new methods that
cyber defenses are not ready for. This year, cybersecurity teams and
governments cannot just react to threats but have to stay one step ahead.
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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Grayson Milbourne is
the Security Intelligence Director at OpenText Cybersecurity, a division of
OpenText that offers OpenTextTM ArcSightTM cyDNA, a signal-based analytics
platform that reveals adversarial behavior in real-time. Grayson's over two
decades of security intelligence expertise include malware analysis, data
science, and security education. In his current role, Grayson is focused on
efficacy development to ensure the company's security management products
(which include the Webroot portfolio) are able to defend against the most
cutting-edge threats.